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天使投资唐 发表于 2013-5-20 08:15:37 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
为何要创业?
创业为梦想:你与合伙人做一个产品,然后让1000用户去尝试,每星期增长用户数量5%,4年后你会有26,455,101用户!
       1000*1.05^((365*4+1)/7)=26,455,101
当然这可能是1%好概念+99%血汗和执行+900%运气和缘分,但这是可能的!
刚刚雅虎董事会批准以11亿美元现金收购2007年创立的微博Tumblr.com,类似Twitter可以跟随 转发和喜欢



Why We Live – Counting The People Your Life Impacts
http://fundersandfounders.com/counting-the-people-you-impact/

If you were to have your last party, ever – how many people would be there? If this question itself is unsettling it is because you want your life to have an impact. A big one. Counting the people we impact, I made the following estimation.
Wanting impact goes back to the question of why we are alive. Often we answer it by saying what we want to do in life. To grow, to learn, to experience, etc. Counting the people we impact, there is another way to think of this. You can focus on the impact of what you do rather than on what you do. Once you do that, you might see that you want to do things with the biggest impact.
My generation of people, Gen Y, wants to have a big impact on the world even before they figure out what they want to do. And that is a good thing. The scale of what you do is probably more important than what you do. Someone who gives wonderful haircuts in their town makes less of an impact than someone who opens a successful national haircutting chain. You can scale your vision to fit within your city, or your can scale the world to fit your vision. That is the startup way.
Counting The People
On average we live for 78.3 years. Most of us remember people we meet after age 5. Assume we interact with 3 new people daily in cities, 365 days in a year plus leap yeas days is 365.24. In total it will be (78.3 – 5) x 3 x 365.24 = 80,000 people. Is it a lot?
Either way most of us will meet around 80,000 people in the course of our lives. These are people you could offer something. There are many more people who you will never meet, and yet they might love to have what you can offer.
Sources for the infogaphic:
•Startup failure rate is 75% Wall Street Journal
•Life Expectancy World Bank
•Startups grow at 5% Y Combinator
•1000 early users – based on analysis of Y Combinator startups at YClist
•Childbearing Age is 25 CDC
•Average firm size (to determine average number of colleagues) U.S. Small Business Administration



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 楼主| 天使投资唐 发表于 2013-5-20 13:14:13 | 显示全部楼层
@廣州蕭建民: 5%/week的用户增长量已经是很理想的数据。。
我:每周增长5%#J形曲线#=超理想的预算=#创业者谎言#!我投资过和参与过的几十个项目,没一个预算达标,实际现金流大多的都是“\___”形,或“\__/¯¯¯”形,否则老早IPO了!极少数幸运者可做到像FB,LinkedIn平步青云!
28/30日深/京沙龙http://t.cn/zTiOB8J
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